What would a world with AGI look like? - by Rohit Krishnan
AI CEOs are extremely fond of making statements like this. And because they make these statements we are forced to take them at face value, and then try to figure out what the implications are.
Now historically the arguments about comparative advantage that Noah Smith has talked about have played out across every sector and technological transition. AI CEOs and proponents though say this time is different.
The Stargate Project is a new company which intends to invest $500 billion over the next four years building new AI infrastructure for OpenAI in the United States. We will begin deploying $100 billion immediately.
It’s a clear look at the fact that we will be investing untold amounts of money, Manhattan Project or Apollo mission level money, to make this future come about.
But if we want to get ready for this world as a society we’d also have to get a better projection of what the world could look like. There are plenty of unknowns, including the pace of progress and the breakthroughs we could expect, which is why this conversation often involves extreme hypotheticals like “full unemployment” or “building Dyson spheres” or “millions of Nobel prize winners in a datacenter”.
