Why haven’t we seen a new software development problem in three decades? In his article, “ I Haven’t Seen a New Software Development Problem in Thirty Years,” Ray Carnes suggests that the challenges plaguing software development have remained the same for three decades. At first, this claim seems almost absurd—haven’t we witnessed extraordinary technological advancements, from cloud computing to AI?
Yet, as we delve deeper, it becomes clear that the core issues persist. Effectiveness, efficiency, and robustness continue to haunt developers, rooted in the unchanging realities of human error, process flaws, and technological limitations. Let's explore why these problems remain so stubborn and what it might take to move beyond them.
Fred Brooks, in his seminal work The Mythical Man-Month, famously declared that "there is no silver bullet" for software development. His observation holds as true today as it did in the 1970s. The core issues developers face—ensuring that software is effective, efficient, and robust—have not fundamentally changed because they are not purely technological problems but human ones. Brooks’ insight points to the heart of the issue: our challenges persist because they are deeply intertwined with the limitations of human cognition, communication, and collaboration.