Aaron Decker (enjoyer of technology)

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2024-11-30 20:00:05

Alex Good (@goodalexander) on twitter, talks about this concept of a “hallucination yield”. It’s the idea that LLMs favor certain stocks or assets unreasonably based on their training data.

@goodalexander: “im a recently converted fan of “hallucination yield” - the idea that ChatGPT arbitrarily likes certain stocks or thinks they’re bigger than they are. hard to backtest bc the training cut offs but … yea. works.”

He’s right though, it works. (And by the way this idea may have come from someone else but I couldn’t find the original source.)

Ask ChatGPT about what sectors should do well under the new incoming Trump administration. For some reason it calls out Small Modular Nuclear Reactors, and then it will go on to recommend the stock “NuScale Power” ($SMR).

Now, NuScale Power is a real company. It’s probably the most obvious one to recommend. But it’s not the only one. It’s not even a particularly good one based on various metrics (valuation, financials, etc).

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