cases adjusted for sample rate, hospitalizations, and deaths are all way down from peaks and vs this same seasonal surge a year ago. absolute levels are very low.
it’s essentially mathematically inevitable given the stratification of risk cohorts and the prevalence of vaccination toward the high risk that even with very effective vaccines most people in hospital will be vaccinated
everyone needs to take a breath here and get a holistic picture. we’re seeing attenuation of covid and of covid risk, not acceleration.
much has been made of the israeli covid data and their vaccinated vs unvaccinated case counts, hospitalizations, etc. this is a complex set of data, measured poorly and inconsistently, and that has several variables underpinning it that cofound data and pull it in multiple directions. it’s far more resistant to drawing simple conclusions that many folks on both sides of the vaccine debate are making out and depending on which subset you look at, you can draw all manner of vastly differing conclusions.
sometimes, the most important thing we can remember is that there is no one data series that tells us the answer and that we need to take something of an evolving mosaic approach to get at the underlying fact pattern and relationships.