In 1945 in the first generation of computing (ENIAC mainframes), there were just as many programmers as there were computers and users, it was pretty

The Leverage of Programming Keeps Going Up

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2024-12-30 08:30:04

In 1945 in the first generation of computing (ENIAC mainframes), there were just as many programmers as there were computers and users, it was pretty much a 1:1:1 ratio.

In fact, there were probably more programmers than there were computers. And there was for sure less users than people who were programmers because computers were so opaque and hard to figure out.

80ish years later, there are way fewer programmers than there are users and there are fewer users than there are computers. Another way to phrase this is that a single user has multiple computers and most people can't program.

From the data that I've been able to source, fluent programmers (i.e., people who can get paid to program) occupy about one-third of one percent of the global population.

And of the members of a society who do own a computational device, like a smartphone, they generally don't just own a smartphone; they'll own a laptop, and a tablet too, and all three will run separately. Not to mention smart TVs and smart appliances all over people's houses these days.

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