This image comes from Tim Urban at WaitButWhy, whose 2015 article on artificial intelligence ... [+]  profoundly influenced me and many others.  In th

AI That Can Invent AI Is Coming. Buckle Up.

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2024-11-06 00:30:05

This image comes from Tim Urban at WaitButWhy, whose 2015 article on artificial intelligence ... [+] profoundly influenced me and many others.

In this provocative essay, Aschenbrenner—a 22-year-old wunderkind and former OpenAI researcher—argues that artificial general intelligence will be here by 2027, that artificial intelligence will consume 20% of all U.S. electricity by 2029, and that AI will unleash untold powers of destruction that within years will reshape the world geopolitical order.

Aschenbrenner’s startling thesis about exponentially accelerating AI progress rests on one core premise: that AI will soon become powerful enough to carry out AI research itself, leading to recursive self-improvement and runaway superintelligence.

The idea of an “intelligence explosion” fueled by self-improving AI is not new. From Nick Bostrom’s seminal 2014 book Superintelligence to the popular film Her, this concept has long figured prominently in discourse about the long-term future of AI.

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